Full Test Report - 1Minute Timeframe
Foreign Exchange Tester Report
| Symbol | EURUSD (Euro vs US Dollar) | ||||
| Period | 1 Minute (M1) 2004.06.21 00:01 - 2006.07.07 00:00 (2004.06.20 - 2006.07.07) | ||||
| Model | Every tick (based on all available least timeframes with fractal interpolation of every tick) | ||||
| Parameters | TakeProfit=72; Lots=0.6; TrailingStop=74; MACDOpenLevel=4; MACDCloseLevel=6; MATrendPeriod=26; | ||||
| Bars in test | 659098 | Ticks modelled | 2866221 | Modelling quality | 22.05% |
| Initial deposit | 10000.00 | ||||
| Total net profit | 4718.76 | Gross profit | 9285.96 | Gross loss | -4567.20 |
| Profit factor | 2.03 | Expected payoff | 98.31 | ||
| Absolute drawdown | 0.00 | Maximal drawdown | 2821.32 (21.28%) | Relative drawdown | 21.28% (2821.32) |
| Total trades | 48 | Short positions (won %) | 27 (81.48%) | Long positions (won %) | 21 (76.19%) |
| Profit trades (% of total) | 38 (79.17%) | Loss trades (% of total) | 10 (20.83%) | ||
| Largest | profit trade | 457.92 | loss trade | -1428.33 | |
| Average | profit trade | 244.37 | loss trade | -456.72 | |
| Maximum | consecutive wins (profit in money) | 10 (2529.33) | consecutive losses (loss in money) | 4 (-2821.32) | |
| Maximal | consecutive profit (count of wins) | 2529.33 (10) | consecutive loss (count of losses) | -2821.32 (4) | |
| Average | consecutive wins | 5 | consecutive losses | 2 | |

A real bad forex result.... Ok, 47% in 2 years is still a great return, still better than any bank... Foreign Exchange is still the way to go... Allthough, have you noticed that suddenly the modelling quality dropped to 22.05% ?... That is also another thing to look out for in managed funds... If they only provide historical results (Foreign Exchange Managed Funds Comments), how good was their modelling quality? How exactly did they do the tests and were they run through various options and settings in order to prove without a doubt that it is an even semi-reliable predictor for the future.
REMEMBER: Historical results are never proof of future results!





2 Comments:
http://www.Managed-Forex-Accounts.info
Great idea for a blog. Keep it up!! :-)
mak
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